Bitcoin ETFs Open October With $134 Million in Inflows After the Jobs Miss
US spot bitcoin ETFs took in $102.7 million on October 1 and $31.7 million on October 2, a $134.4 million start to the month, according to Decrypt's fund tracker. The buying followed a $148.7 million outflow on September 30 that ended a nine-session run of inflows. September as a whole brought in $2.65 billion, per SoSoValue. Decrypt ties the move to Friday's weak payrolls report: after the 29,000-job print, CME FedWatch odds of an October rate hike dropped to 14% from about 70% earlier in the week. Thursday's larger inflow came before that report. Bitcoin reached $87,173 on Friday, just under its September high of $87,354, and traded near $85,000 on Sunday. Other indicators are less upbeat. Year-to-date ETF inflows are under $1 billion, and Myriad traders see a 93% chance of no new all-time high in 2026.
Bottom line (analysis): Two days of inflows ($134.4 million) offset most of one outflow ($148.7 million). Decrypt links the move to falling Fed hike odds, but the larger inflow came before Friday's jobs report, so in our analysis the data fits a macro explanation without proving it. CPI on October 14 is the next chance to test that link.



